All Outcomes
21 candidates1Juan Pablo Velasco
62.3%
2Otto Ritter
31.6%
3Luis Fernando Camacho
0.1%
4Juan Carlos Medrano
0.1%
5Mauricio Quezada
0.1%
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 62% | NO: 38%
$767,001 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Apr 19, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 62% probability has been shaped by $767,001 in trading activity.
Approaching Resolution: With 7 days until resolution, traders are watching closely for any news that could shift the odds.
This is a multi-outcome market with 21 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Juan Pablo Velasco will win, you can buy YES shares at 62.3¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 61% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.