All Outcomes
20 candidates1Ken Paxton
80.5%
2John Cornyn
17.0%
3Wesley Hunt
1.8%
4Dawn Buckingham
0.1%
5Beth Van Duyne
0.1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 81% | NO: 20%
$4.5M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 3, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 81% probability has been shaped by $4.5M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $4.5M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 5 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
This is a multi-outcome market with 20 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Ken Paxton will win, you can buy YES shares at 80.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 24% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.