All Outcomes
20 candidates1Ken Paxton
60.5%
2John Cornyn
38.5%
3Dawn Buckingham
0.1%
4Beth Van Duyne
0.1%
5Wesley Hunt
0.1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 61% | NO: 40%
$15.3M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
May 26, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 61% probability has been shaped by $15.3M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $15.3M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 20 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Ken Paxton will win, you can buy YES shares at 60.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 65% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.