All Outcomes
2 candidates1any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026
4.3%
Volume
$345,395
Liquidity
$8,113
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 4% | NO: 96%
$345,395 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2025
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 6,907 trades. The current price of 4¢ implies a 4% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
This is a multi-outcome market with 2 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 4.3¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 2253% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.