YES
4.0%
$0.04 per share
NO
96.0%
$0.96 per share
Volume
$528,071
Liquidity
$39,886
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Get real-time flow alerts for whale trades and price movements.
View Full Flow DashboardYES: 4% | NO: 96%
$528,071 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 4% probability has been shaped by $528,071 in trading activity.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.04, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 2432% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.96, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 4% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 4%, there may be a trading opportunity.