All Outcomes
6 candidates1Iran close the Strait of Hormuz
36.5%
2Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30
29.5%
3Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31
21.0%
Volume
$1.0M
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 37% | NO: 64%
$1.0M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
Technology prediction markets track industry developments and product launches. This market has $1.0M in trading volume with $34,740 in liquidity. The 37% probability reflects trader expectations based on available information.
High Volume: With $1.0M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 6 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Iran close the Strait of Hormuz will win, you can buy YES shares at 36.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 174% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.