YES
6.5%
$0.07 per share
NO
93.5%
$0.94 per share
Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$110,110
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 7% | NO: 94%
$1.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 7% probability has been shaped by $1.2M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $1.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.07, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 1438% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.94, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 7% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 7%, there may be a trading opportunity.