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Showing 1-24 of 33 markets
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
30%
YES odds
$14.1MDec 31, 2026
Trump Zelenskyy
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
2%
YES odds
$6.0MApr 30, 2026
Ukraine11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 202682%
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 3051%
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 3011%
+8 more$5.8MDec 31, 2025
Ukraine Peace Deal
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
11%
YES odds
$5.8MJun 30, 2026
Politics15
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Trump and Putin not meet86%
Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country3%
Trump and Putin meet next in Russia2%
+12 more$4.9MJun 30, 2026
Putin
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
13%
YES odds
$3.8MDec 31, 2026
Poland2
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 20264%
$3.8MDec 31, 2025
Politics2
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
US withdraw from NATO12%
US withdraw from NATO by April 302%
$3.4MDec 31, 2026
World3
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its te14%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its te3%
$2.4MDec 31, 2026
Politics
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
17%
YES odds
$2.1MDec 31, 2026
Ukraine8
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 202663%
Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 202621%
Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 20263%
+5 more$2.1MDec 31, 2026
World30
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Zelenskyy and Putin not meet81%
Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE3%
Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey3%
+27 more$2.1MDec 31, 2026
World3
Ukraine election held by...?
Ukraine election held by December 31, 202621%
Ukraine election held by June 30, 20264%
$2.0MDec 31, 2025
Trump Zelenskyy5
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire10%
+2 more$1.5MJun 30, 2026
Trump Presidency4
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 202620%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 202610%
+1 more$1.5MDec 31, 2026
World3
Ukraine election called by...?
Ukraine election called by June 30, 20267%
$1.5MDec 31, 2025
Trump6
Russia nuclear test by...?
Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 202612%
Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 202610%
Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 20261%
+3 more$1.3MMar 31, 2026
World5
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 305%
+2 more$1.2MJun 30, 2026
World
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
4%
YES odds
$1.2MJun 30, 2026
Ukraine
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
3%
YES odds
$1.1MDec 31, 2026
Ukraine8
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Russia enter Dopropillia by June 3028%
Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 3014%
Russia enter Sloviansk by June 3013%
+5 more$939.1KJun 30, 2026
Ukraine4
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2022%
+1 more$906.8KApr 30, 2026
Ukraine4
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 304%
+1 more$842.6KMar 31, 2026
Geopolitics5
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 3124%
+2 more$767.2KDec 31, 2026