This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the second-most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2026. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 80% | NO: 20%
$370,725 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 3, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 80% probability has been shaped by $370,725 in trading activity.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 5 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
This is a multi-outcome market with 20 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republic will win, you can buy YES shares at 80.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 25% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.