All Outcomes
48 candidates1Emmanuel Grégoire
62.0%
2Rachida Dati
35.5%
3Éric Grégoire
33.0%
4Sarah Knafo
1.7%
5Pierre-Yves Bournazel
0.4%
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 62% | NO: 38%
$3.2M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 62% probability has been shaped by $3.2M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $3.2M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 48 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Emmanuel Grégoire will win, you can buy YES shares at 62.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 61% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.