All Outcomes
20 candidates1James Talarico
69.5%
2Jasmine Crockett
29.5%
3Emily Morgul
0.1%
4Colin Allred
0.1%
5Michael Swanson
0.1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 70% | NO: 31%
$1.4M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 3, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 70% probability has been shaped by $1.4M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $1.4M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
Resolution Soon: This market ends in 5 days. Odds often become more volatile as resolution approaches when new information emerges.
This is a multi-outcome market with 20 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think James Talarico will win, you can buy YES shares at 69.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 44% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.