The first round of the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first-round turnout percentage in the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election, calculated as the total number of votes received (“votos recibidos”) divided by the total electorate (“electorado”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Costa Rica Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 99% | NO: 1%
$288,480 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 1, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 99% probability has been shaped by $288,480 in trading activity.
This is a multi-outcome market with 10 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election will win, you can buy YES shares at 99.3¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 1% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.