All Outcomes
13 candidates1the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026
55.0%
2the DHS shutdown end
12.6%
3the DHS shutdown end
5.3%
4the DHS shutdown end
4.8%
5the DHS shutdown end
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 55% | NO: 45%
$525,124 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Mar 31, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 55% probability has been shaped by $525,124 in trading activity.
This is a multi-outcome market with 13 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026 will win, you can buy YES shares at 55.0¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 82% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.