YES
12.5%
$0.13 per share
NO
87.5%
$0.88 per share
Volume
$324,346
Liquidity
$33,026
24h Trades
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 13% | NO: 88%
$324,346 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Dec 31, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 13% probability has been shaped by $324,346 in trading activity.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.13, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 700% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $0.88, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 14% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 13%, there may be a trading opportunity.