All Outcomes
49 candidates1Luca Niculescu
53.3%
2Sorin Grindeanu
13.7%
3Alexandru Nazare
3.4%
4Eugen Tomac
1.7%
5Ilie Bolojan
1.7%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 53% | NO: 47%
$4.9M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jan 1, 2028
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 53% probability has been shaped by $4.9M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $4.9M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 49 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Luca Niculescu will win, you can buy YES shares at 53.3¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 88% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.