YES
50.0%
$0.50 per share
NO
100.0%
$1.00 per share
Volume
$115,985
Liquidity
$0
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. consulate (consulate general) in Guadalajara, Mexico, or a full evacuation of the consulate is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the consulate.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 50% | NO: 100%
$115,985 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 28, 2026
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 50% probability has been shaped by $115,985 in trading activity.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 50%, there may be a trading opportunity.