YES
50.0%
$0.50 per share
NO
100.0%
$1.00 per share
Volume
$115,985
Liquidity
$0
24h Trades
0
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. consulate (consulate general) in Guadalajara, Mexico, or a full evacuation of the consulate is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the consulate.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 50% | NO: 100%
$115,985 total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Feb 28, 2026
This prediction market aggregates information from an estimated 2,319 trades. The current price of 50¢ implies a 50% probability of this outcome occurring. Trading activity has been primarily retail-sized.
Buy YES if you believe this will happen. At the current price of $0.50, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 100% return.
Buy NO if you believe it won't happen. At $1.00, you'd receive $1.00 if correct—a potential 0% return.
Share prices reflect the market's probability estimate. If you think the true probability differs from 50%, there may be a trading opportunity.