All Outcomes
6 candidates1Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2
39.5%
2Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 3
14.5%
Volume
$4.3M
Liquidity
$73,506
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
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View Full Flow DashboardYES: 40% | NO: 61%
$4.3M total volume
Neutral - balanced flow
Jul 1, 2027
This political prediction market reflects real-money positions from traders worldwide. Unlike traditional polls that can suffer from sampling bias, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions weighted by conviction—traders put real money behind their forecasts. The current 40% probability has been shaped by $4.3M in trading activity.
High Volume: With $4.3M traded, this is one of the most actively traded markets. Higher volume typically means more accurate price discovery.
This is a multi-outcome market with 6 possible outcomes. Each outcome has its own YES/NO market where you can bet on whether that specific candidate/option will win.
Example: If you think Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2 will win, you can buy YES shares at 39.5¢. If correct, you receive $1.00—a potential 153% return.
Alternatively, if you believe a leading candidate is overvalued, you can buy NO shares on their market to profit if they don't win.