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Showing 25-48 of 142 markets
Trump Presidency3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
the US officially declare war on Iran by December 8%
the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30,1%
$5.9MDec 31, 2026
Ukraine11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 202682%
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 3051%
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 3011%
+8 more$5.8MDec 31, 2025
Ukraine Peace Deal
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
10%
YES odds
$5.8MJun 30, 2026
Politics15
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Trump and Putin not meet85%
Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country2%
Trump and Putin meet next in Russia2%
+12 more$4.9MJun 30, 2026
World
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
4%
YES odds
$4.6MJun 30, 2026
Politics28
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu44%
Naftali27%
Gadi Eizenkot20%
+25 more$4.6MDec 31, 2026
Israel7
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 3030%
+4 more$4.0MJun 30, 2026
Geopolitics25
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Viktor Orbán78%
Gustavo Petro8%
Miguel Díaz-Canel5%
+22 more$3.9MDec 31, 2026
Putin
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
13%
YES odds
$3.8MDec 31, 2026
Poland2
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 20264%
$3.8MDec 31, 2025
Strait Of Hormuz3
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April33%
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April11%
$3.6MMar 31, 2026
Politics2
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
US withdraw from NATO13%
US withdraw from NATO by April 302%
$3.5MDec 31, 2026
Politics3
US strike on Mexico by...?
US strike on Mexico by December 3125%
$3.3MDec 31, 2026
Geopolitics3
US strike on Cuba by...?
US strike on Cuba by December 3135%
$3.1MDec 31, 2026
Iran4
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 202647%
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 202623%
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 20266%
+1 more$2.8MJun 30, 2026
Politics7
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 3027%
+4 more$2.7MDec 31, 2025
Middle East30
Military action against Iran ends by...?
Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 202100%
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 202100%
Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 202100%
+27 more$2.6MApr 30, 2026
Maduro3
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 313%
$2.6MJan 31, 2026
Israel X Iran13
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
UAE strike Iran by April 3019%
Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 309%
any E.U. country strike Iran by April 305%
+10 more$2.6MApr 30, 2026
Politics5
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 3112%
+2 more$2.5MJan 31, 2026
World3
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its te14%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its te3%
$2.4MDec 31, 2026
Iran Ceasefire6
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 235%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 128%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 119%
+3 more$2.3MApr 21, 2026
Trump
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
19%
YES odds
$2.2MMay 31, 2026
Geopolitics11
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
the United States send warships through the Strait100%
the United Kingdom send warships through the Strai15%
France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz 9%
+8 more$2.2MApr 30, 2026