24 Markets
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Search and filter all Polymarket prediction markets. Find active bets, resolved outcomes, and trending topics.
Showing 1-24 of 24 markets
Iran Regime10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by De7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Se2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Au0%
+7 more$71.6MJan 1, 2027
Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16%
YES odds
$60.0MDec 31, 2026
Middle East123
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei82%
there4%
Reza Pahlavi3%
+120 more$38.8MDec 31, 2026
Politics8
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 316%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 32%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 310%
+5 more$29.2MJan 1, 2027
Politics19
Israel closes its airspace by...?
Israel closes its airspace by September 307%
Israel closes its airspace by August 312%
+16 more$27.4MOct 1, 2026
Iran22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18100%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20100%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22100%
+19 more$26.3MAug 31, 2026
Reza Pahlavi
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8%
YES odds
$25.2MDec 31, 2026
Politics14
Iran leadership change by...?
Iran leadership change by June 30, 202725%
Iran leadership change by December 3116%
Iran leadership change by November 3010%
+11 more$24.1MJul 1, 2027
Oil2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Augu0%
$23.6MSep 1, 2026
Shah7
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 315%
+4 more$21.8MJan 1, 2027
Iran20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 376%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 3161%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 40%
+17 more$21.0MJan 1, 2027
Geopolitics7
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil8%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil3%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil0%
+4 more$17.8MJan 1, 2027
Iran9
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 202614%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 202610%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 20265%
+6 more$16.4MJan 1, 2027
Iran
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
3%
YES odds
$11.7MDec 31, 2026
Politics12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Decembe18%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October11%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Septemb7%
+9 more$11.3MJan 1, 2027
Iran11
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 202768%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 202653%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 202625%
+8 more$10.3MApr 1, 2027
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
38%
YES odds
$9.5MDec 31, 2026
Iran10
Iran full airspace closure by...?
Iran full airspace closure by December 3119%
Iran full airspace closure by September 307%
Iran full airspace closure by August 312%
+7 more$8.6MJan 1, 2027
Geopolitics7
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 202610%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2023%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 20260%
+4 more$8.4MJan 1, 2027
Us Iran3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
the US officially declare war on Iran by December 4%
$7.8MJan 1, 2027
Israel16
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Israel strike 4 countries in 202677%
Israel strike 5 countries in 20269%
Israel strike 6 countries in 20265%
+13 more$7.4MDec 31, 2026
Middle East15
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 3124%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 3113%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 308%
+12 more$6.9MJan 1, 2027
Oil
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
10%
YES odds
$6.2MSep 30, 2026
Iran19
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by 75%
the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting11%
the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting10%
+16 more$5.2MSep 30, 2026